- November 20, 2024
- Posted By: mia
- Category: Market News
GBP/USD Market Overview: Inflation Data and Central Bank Signals
The GBP/USD currency pair, often nicknamed “Cable,” reflects the exchange rate between the British Pound and the US Dollar. As one of the most traded pairs in the forex market, it is influenced heavily by macroeconomic data, central bank policies, and global economic conditions. The GBP/USD fundamental analysis today suggests heightened volatility as several key economic indicators and events come into focus. For the GBP, the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI), including its core and retail components, is due, and its actual numbers exceeding forecasts could boost the pound due to inflationary pressures supporting a potential rate hike by the Bank of England. Additionally, BOE Deputy Governor David Ramsden’s speech on monetary policy could provide clues about future interest rate trajectories. Meanwhile, on the USD side, Federal Reserve Governors Lisa Cook and Michelle Bowman will speak on monetary and economic policies, likely influencing the dollar’s strength, especially if hawkish tones dominate. This mix of inflation data and high-level speeches could set the tone for Cable’s forecast today, particularly as the pair struggles against bearish pressures.
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The GBP/USD H4 chart shows that the pair is firmly entrenched in a bearish parallel channel, with prices trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a sustained GBPUSD bearish trend. Additionally, a recent crossover on the Stochastic RSI indicates bullish divergence in oversold territory, hinting at a potential short-term corrective bounce. However, the prevailing bearish structure within the channel remains intact, suggesting sellers are still dominant. The market’s inability to break above the cloud or the upper boundary of the channel could reinforce the pair’s bearish sentiment and lead to a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should monitor key support at 1.2650 and resistance near the upper channel trendline for potential trade setups.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.