AUDUSD bullish momentum with Ichimoku confirmation
The AUD/USD, also known by traders as the “Aussie”, is one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market, often influenced by commodity prices and risk sentiment. Today’s focus on the AUDUSD pair comes as Australia releases several high-impact indicators including the Melbourne Institute CPI, ANZ job advertisements, building approvals, corporate profits, and the RBA commodity price index, while in the U.S., markets remain quiet due to the Labor Day holiday. Fundamentally, stronger-than-expected CPI and building approvals would boost the Aussie as they reflect underlying inflationary pressures and construction sector growth, while an uptick in corporate profits and commodity prices would further strengthen the outlook by signaling resilience in domestic demand and trade balance. However, thin U.S. liquidity due to the holiday could result in irregular volatility, meaning traders should be cautious of sudden price swings despite the broadly supportive Australian data backdrop.
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the AUD/USD H4 chart technical analysis, the price is moving on a bullish short-term trend, with the last two bullish candles testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level near 0.6547, which aligns with the long-term bearish descending trend line. Despite this recovery, the price action is still fluctuating between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zones, suggesting consolidation within a broader range. The Ichimoku Cloud is positioned below the candles, turning green with widening structure, while the Leading Span A is moving upward, reinforcing bullish sentiment. Momentum is also supported by the %R (14) at -2.78, indicating the pair is near overbought territory, yet still showing strong bullish pressure. Overall, AUD-USD price action suggests short-term upside potential, but traders should monitor the 0.6547–0.6560 resistance area closely as a decisive break above it could open the door toward 0.6580, while rejection may pull the pair back into the consolidation zone.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
