Australian Dollar Technical Levels and CPI Forecast

Aussie Dollar H4 Bearish Trend Analysis

AUD/USD, commonly known as the “Aussie,” represents the Australian dollar versus the US dollar and is one of the most actively traded currency pairs, reflecting global risk sentiment and commodity price dynamics. Today’s key data for the Aussie includes the Australian CPI (Consumer Price Index), a primary inflation indicator whose increase can lead to hawkish interest rate decisions by the Reserve Bank of Australia, potentially strengthening the AUD. Conversely, US economic releases include weekly unemployment claims, durable goods orders, and Chicago PMI, influencing USD strength based on economic recovery and market expectations.

AUDUSD-Fundamental-and-Technical-Forecast.11.26.2025

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Analyzing the AUD/USD 4-hour (H4) chart, the current technical indicators suggest a bearish trend with periodic corrections. The Ichimoku indicator shows resistance and support levels at 0.64549, 0.64408, 0.64936, and 0.65146, highlighting bearish dominance as prices stay below the cloud. The MACD (0.00037, -0.00037, -0.00074) is near neutral, suggesting consolidation and indecision among traders. Stochastic indicators (77.22, 87.23) indicate the market is nearing overbought territory, signaling potential resistance. Candlestick patterns demonstrate struggle to break above current resistance around the 0.64892 level, indicating bearish pressure remains robust. Any upward correction would first face significant resistance at this level.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.