NZD/USD Daily Chart Insights and Forecast

NZDUSD: Impact of US Political News on Kiwi

The NZD/USD forex pair, often referred to as the “Kiwi,” is a popular trading pair known for its volatility and liquidity. The upcoming New Zealand trade balance report, with a forecast of 294 million, is expected to have a low impact on the NZD. A higher-than-expected figure would be favorable, indicating stronger export demand. Concurrently, President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race and his endorsement of Kamala Harris are significant developments. This unexpected political shift may introduce high volatility for the USD Currency, potentially impacting the NZDUSD pair.

H4-NZDUSD-Technical-and-Fudamental-Analysis-on-22-07-2024

   Chart Notes: 

  • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
  • Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

In the provided NZD/USD H4 chart, the Bollinger Bands indicate increased volatility as they have widened significantly. The last 10 candles predominantly show a bearish trend with nine red candles, reflecting strong selling pressure. However, the MACD indicator is suggesting a potential bullish reversal, as the histogram is showing signs of convergence, and the signal line appears to be crossing upward. The price has been moving from the middle band towards the lower band, touching it several times, which often signifies oversold conditions. Currently, the price is slightly above the lower band, suggesting a possible reversal. The Fibonacci retracement levels show that the price is oscillating between the 0.78 and 1.00 levels, indicating key support and resistance zones.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.