EURUSD Price Action and Key Economic Releases

Fundamental and Technical Insights on EUR/USD

The EUR/USD forex pair, often referred to as “Fiber,” is a popular trading instrument in the forex market, representing the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar. Today’s economic calendar features critical data points that could influence the EUR USD exchange rate. The Core CPI and CPI releases are expected to provide insights into inflationary pressures in the US economy, with forecasts of 0.2% and 0.1% respectively. Higher-than-expected inflation figures could bolster the USD as it may lead the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance on interest rates. Additionally, the unemployment claims report, forecasted at 236K, will shed light on the health of the US labor market. Lower-than-expected claims could further support the USD. Other factors include speeches from various FOMC members, potentially offering clues on future monetary policy directions. Traders should monitor these releases closely as they will likely create volatility in the EUR/USD pair.


   Chart Notes: 

  • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
  • Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Analyzing the EUR/USD H4 chart, the pair is currently in a bullish trend, navigating between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. The Bollinger Bands indicate that the price recently moved from the lower band to the middle band, suggesting a shift in momentum. The tightening of the Bollinger Bands signals reduced volatility, often a precursor to a significant price movement. The last three candles have been positive, indicating a consistent upward trajectory. Additionally, the RSI indicator is hovering around 57, reflecting moderate bullish momentum on EUR-USD without being overbought. Traders should watch for potential resistance near the 1.08429 level, coinciding with the upper boundary of the current ascending channel.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.