USDCAD H4 Analysis: Bullish Momentum Gathers Pace

Key Indicators Support USDCAD Bullish Outlook

The USDCAD currency pair, often referred to as the “Loonie,” represents the exchange rate between the US dollar and the Canadian dollar. It is heavily influenced by commodity prices, particularly oil, as Canada is a major oil exporter. Loonie is widely traded in the forex market, reflecting economic and geopolitical dynamics between the United States and Canada. Today’s economic data for CAD includes a high-impact GDP release, forecasted at 0.3% m/m. A result exceeding this forecast would be positive for the CAD, indicating robust economic health. Conversely, the USD will see multiple low to medium impact news, such as Personal Income, Personal Spending, and speeches by FOMC members. Of particular note is the Core PCE Price Index, forecasted at 0.1%, which is a key inflation measure for the Fed. Additionally, speeches by President Biden and FOMC members could provide further insights into future monetary policy. Given the mixed nature of US economic indicators and the high importance of Canada’s GDP data, the USDCAD forex pair might see increased volatility.


   Chart Notes: 

  • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
  • Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Analyzing the H4 chart for USDCAD, a potential uptrend is emerging following a downtrend. The price action indicates a shift as the candles move from the lower Bollinger Band to the middle and now between the middle and upper bands, signaling bullish momentum. The Fibonacci retracement levels show the price recovering from the 0.786 level, moving towards the 0.382 level at 1.37481. With 8 out of the last 10 candles being green, there is a clear positive movement in the Loonie’s price. The RSI is above 50, further supporting the bullish sentiment. The Bollinger Bands have started to widen, indicating increasing volatility and potential continuation of the upward movement.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore Ltd”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.